Windows Vista is Vapor

Its all over the web and now finally Scoble chimes in. Microsoft’s rampant complexity has apparently exceeded even their ability to cope.

As a veteran of many software projects, large and small, big bang development of the sort practiced by Microsoft seldom succeeds. The project has all the hallmarks of a deathmarch. They even scrapped the code base and started over summer before last and drastically reduced their expectations.

Compare to Apple’s slow and steady evolution with a new revision every 18 months and its clear to see that evolution trumps revolution every time. Its also better for users. I don’t think MS realizes just how disruptive their new OS releases are once they finally get them out the door. There’s too much new, too much to absorb, its too different. No wonder adoption is slow.

I’d say MS needs some new management and a new way of developing software. Their failure rate is now well above industry average.

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